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This article is categorized under Therapeutic Approaches and Drug Discovery Nanomedicine for Oncologic Disease Nanotechnology Approaches to Biology Nanoscale Systems in Biology.Past abrupt 'regime shifts' have been observed in a range of ecosystems due to various forcing factors. Large-scale abrupt shifts are projected for some terrestrial ecosystems under climate change, particularly in tropical and high-latitude regions. However, there is very little high-resolution modelling of smaller-scale future projected abrupt shifts