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Aim It is the aim of this paper to consider whether overall patient treatment history per se and what length of patient history, matters in predicting future treatment need.Methods This study used a data set (SN7024, available from UKDataService), consisting of treatment records for General Dental Services' (GDS) patients, this being obtained from all items of service payment records for patients treated in the GDS of England and Wales between 1990 and 2006. For the purpose of this study, the GDS dataset for patients attending in 20