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The highest AU-ROCs were 0.64 (95%CI 0.61-0.67) for ACC-TAVI and 0.63 (95%CI 0.60-0.67) for FRANCE-2. All MPMs had a very low AU-PRC of ≤0.09. ACC-TAVI had the best calibration-intercept and calibration-slope. Brier Score values ranged between 0.043 and 0.063. Brier Skill Score ranged between -0.47 and 0.004. ACC-TAVI and FRANCE-2 predicted high mortality-risk better than other MPMs. ACC-TAVI outperformed other MPMs in different subgroups. Conclusion The ACC-TAVI model has relatively the best predictive performance. However, all models h