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The nomogram had a C-index of 0.793 and had been internally validated. The nomogram performed much better (C-index of 0.816) compared to the various other most cited models (C-indexes of 0.728 and 0.735) in the validation cohort. In addition, the nomogram can assign clients into reduced- (lower than 10%), intermediate- (10% to 30%), and risky (equal or maybe more than 30%) groups to facilitate personalized management. Conclusion The nomog