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ion and interpret the uncertainty propagated from parameters, which was useful for predicting forest regeneration.Plots were set on the top, middle and bottom of the stony desert alluvial fan in the middle of southern foothills of the Tianshan Mountains. With plant height and crown size as indicators, the spatial heterogeneity of Ephedra przewalskii populations in the stony desert were studied using geostatistical methods. Understanding the spatial heterogeneity characteristics of E. przewalskii populations could provide scientific basi