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The cumulative temperature method could be used to predict the start and end dates of the monoterpene emissions. To estimate the annual monoterpene emissions, a temperature and light intensity dependent emission model was modified to incorporate the effect of growth temperature on seasonal patterns of Ms. Annual monoterpene emissions were found to increase linearly with annual mean temperature. For each 1 °C of warming, the annual monoterpene emissions from A. palmatum increased by approximately 15%. Our results suggest that the effect