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The predicted 1-year mortality ranged from 14.6% (0 points) to 49.9% (13 points) (P.001). In weighted regression analysis, there was a strong correlation between predicted 1-year mortality and observed 1-year mortality in the validation cohort (r=0.85, P .001). Logistic regression also demonstrated a significant association (odds ratio, 1.18; 95% confidence interval, 1.1-1.3; P=.004). The Brier score of the composite score in the validation cohort was 0.14. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated that risk scores of 4 points or higher
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