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Results The modelled epidemic utilizing the full ban fitted the noticed incidence of situations really, forecasting 57 situations on March 6th in Australia, compared to 66 seen with this day, nonetheless we performed not account for imported situations off their nations. The modelled impact without a travel ban leads to more than 2000 situations and about 400 fatalities, if the epidemic remained localised to Asia and no importations off their nations occurred. The full vacation ban reduced situ