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These are between 1) Rules and regulators, 2) Regulators and companies, 3) Managers and employees in the companies, 4) Organizational members' shared ways of thinking and acting, which are the two key elements of safety culture, 5) Safety culture and safety behaviour, and between 6) Safety behaviour and accidents. Regulatory attempts to influence safety culture may fail or succeed at each level, through factors involved in the different relationships.We present an alternative approach to the forecasting of motor vehicle collision rates.