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The decomposition results showed that TPGE was a dominator in emissions reduction, followed by the share of renewables in electricity generation. The scenario analysis indicated that when the electricity mix changes with IEA's Current Policies scenario, the decline in CEE will be not persistent after 2017 unless a strong regional convergence in TPGE occurs. Moreover, under BAT scenario, with any case of electricity mix the CEE in 2040 is 31-54% lower than that under BAU scenario. The results also showed that more ambitious targets for de
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