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In spite of the development of the Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) during past decades, the reliability prognostics of engineered systems under time-varying external conditions still remains a challenge in such a field. When considering the challenge mentioned above, a hybrid method for predicting the reliability index and the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of engineered systems under time-varying external conditions is proposed in this paper. The proposed method is competent in reflecting the influence of time-varying external cond
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