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Bootstrapping validation was used for testing and verifying the predictive model. After feature selection, cytokines IL-1, IL-6, IL-8, IL-23 and TGF-β were excluded, cytokines IFN-γ, IL-4, IL-10, IL-17A, IL-22, TGF-β, the count of PLT and the length of time of ITP were used as predictive factors in the predictive nomogram. The model showed good discrimination with a C-index of 0.82 (95% confidence interval 0.73376-0.90 624) in training cohortn and 0.89 (95% CI 0.868, 0.902) in validation cohort, an AUC of 0.795 in training co